Oscar Predictions

My predictions for tomorrow's Oscars are in bold below. These aren't necessarily who I want to win, but who I think will win based on the public and critical receptions of the films. If I had my druthers, Syriana and Good Night, and Good Luck would share them all.

Best motion picture of the year

“Brokeback Mountain”
“Capote”
“Crash”
“Good Night, and Good Luck.”
“Munich”

Achievement in directing

“Brokeback Mountain” – Ang Lee
“Capote” – Bennett Miller
“Crash” – Paul Haggis
“Good Night, and Good Luck.” – George Clooney
“Munich” – Steven Spielberg

Adapted screenplay

“Brokeback Mountain” by Larry McMurtry & Diana Ossana
“Capote” by Dan Futterman
“The Constant Gardener” by Jeffrey Caine
“A History of Violence” by Josh Olson
“Munich” by Tony Kushner and Eric Roth

Original screenplay

“Crash” by Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco
“Good Night, and Good Luck.” by George Clooney & Grant Heslov
“Match Point” by Woody Allen
“The Squid and the Whale” by Noah Baumbach
“Syriana” by Stephen Gaghan

Performance by an actor in a leading role

Philip Seymour Hoffman, “Capote”
Terrence Howard, “Hustle & Flow”
Heath Ledger, “Brokeback Mountain”
Joaquin Phoenix, “Walk the Line”
David Strathairn, “Good Night, and Good Luck.”

Performance by an actor in a supporting role

George Clooney, “Syriana”
Matt Dillon, “Crash”
Paul Giamatti, “Cinderella Man”
Jake Gyllenhaal, “Brokeback Mountain”
William Hurt, “A History of Violence”

Performance by an actress in a leading role

Judi Dench, “Mrs. Henderson Presents”
Felicity Huffman, “Transamerica”
Keira Knightley, “Pride & Prejudice”
Charlize Theron, “North Country”
Reese Witherspoon, “Walk the Line”

Performance by an actress in a supporting role

Amy Adams, “Junebug”
Catherine Keener, “Capote”
Frances McDormand, “North Country”
Rachel Weisz, “The Constant Gardener”
Michelle Williams, “Brokeback Mountain”